Extreme weather throws a wrench into global crop production, with dryness in key regions like the Black Sea and scorching temperatures elsewhere threatening food security.
“The Black Sea forecast is alarming.” Below-average rainfall predicted for July and August could significantly reduce corn and sunflower yields in the region, a major breadbasket for the world.
Record-breaking temperatures are scorching major agricultural regions worldwide. Vast swathes of farmland in Russia, China, India, and parts of the US are battling extreme heat and drought, impacting planting and hindering crop development.
This comes on the heels of adverse weather in May that slashed yields for maturing wheat crops in Russia, the world’s top exporter, pushing global wheat prices to a 10-month high.
Russia’s woes continue. The Hydrometeorological Centre predicts scorching temperatures and low precipitation in southern Russia, Urals, Western Siberia, and Transbaikalia, further stressing crops already struggling with soil moisture deficiencies.
Ukraine faces similar challenges. Southern and eastern regions have seen hot, dry weather with precipitation falling well below normal levels. This drought threatens winter and spring crops in key agricultural areas.
While some relief is expected in Asia, with ample rains forecast to ease dryness in parts of China, a major soybean importer, India’s monsoon remains a concern. Rainfall is currently running 20% below average, impacting agriculture in the world’s largest rice exporter and top edible oil importer. However, these areas could see recovery if monsoon rains improve.
Australia offers a glimmer of hope. Forecasters predict normal weather conditions, with some regions likely to see above-average rainfall, improving the wheat crop outlook. Argentina and Brazil can also expect mostly normal weather in the coming months.
The global food supply chain faces a precarious dance with the weather. While some regions may see improvement, others face significant challenges. This uneven distribution of weather patterns highlights the growing threat of climate change to global food security.
Reference- Reuters, National Geographic,NOAA website, BBC